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Following a challenging year of managing natural hazards, including COVID-19, this one-day online event will provide thought-provoking talks, interactive discussions and online networking opportunities on why warnings matter. In addition, the Ïã¸ÛÁùºÏ²Ê Warning Research Centre as part of the Department of Science and Technology Studies will be launched. The event will explore the role, design, use, and evaluation of warnings for different hazards from different stakeholder perspectives to examine how effective people-centred warning systems can be developed and help to be prepared for both the expected and unexpected. The event is hosted by the Institute for Risk and Disaster Reduction and the Warning Research Centre.

The Ïã¸ÛÁùºÏ²Ê Institute for Risk and Disaster Reduction welcome researchers, students, practitioners, policymakers, the media and the general public to a day of thought-provoking discussions on why warnings matter, and how we can do better at warnings both prior and during crises for all hazard types. Our in-house and guest experts will present a global perspective on the latest research and analysis through talks, interactive discussions and in conversation. We will explore multi-dimensional aspects of warnings, considering their physical, social, economic, environmental, institutional, political, cultural and gendered dimensions, and the challenges involved in making warnings successful to mitigate against losses.

Conference programme

Confirmed speakers

Panel Discussion 1: Warning Systems – Exceptional versus expected events

Mickey Glantz, University of Colorado

Mickey Glantz is aÌýsocial scientist at the University of Colorado and director of the Consortium for Capacity Building. Throughout his career he has sought to bridge meteorological and hydrologic science communities with the social sciences and humanities worldwide to increase awareness among political leaders and the general public about the interactions of climate, water, weather, and society. Recent works focus on coping with El Niño-related hydro-meteorological disasters in a changing climate, EWS and Forecast Hesitancy.ÌýÌý

@MickeyGlantz
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Daniel Straub, Technical University of MunichÌý

is Professor for Engineering Risk and Reliability Analysis at the Technical University of Munich (TUM). He focuses on optimal decision making under uncertainty by combining stochastic modeling and data-driven methods.Ìý

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Rebekah Yore, Ïã¸ÛÁùºÏ²Ê Institute for Risk and Disaster Reduction

Rebekah is a Ïã¸ÛÁùºÏ²Ê IRDR PhD candidate with ten years of experience working for NGOS in the development and humanitarian fields. Her research comprises disaster risk mitigation processes before, during and in the first few months and years following an event.

Rebekah’s research demonstrates how transitional phases to disaster recovery can be crucial time periods for determining the longer-term vulnerability of hazard-exposed populations.ÌýThrough analysing global microinsurance case studies as mechanism for disaster preparedness, Rebekah has examined the value of considering such initiatives through both a humanitarian and business lens. Her fieldwork-led studies on the effectiveness of warning systems support the notion of warnings as process in which scientific, communication, social and infrastructure components must be considered as highly interrelated, accounting for culture, understanding, trust, perception and decision-making among the individuals affected.

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Moderator: Joanna Faure Walker, Ïã¸ÛÁùºÏ²Ê Institute for Risk and Disaster ReductionÌý

Joanna Faure Walker is Associate ProfessorÌýin Risk and Disaster Reduction, IRDR Director of Studies and Graduate Tutor (Taught). Her research focuses on earthquake geology and seismic hazard, including faults in the Earth's continental crust to better understand the physical processes controlling earthquake locations, timing and generation.ÌýShe is also interested in disaster resilience, especiallyÌýtopics such as risk perception, warning and shelter.Ìýand her teaching encompasses earthquakes and other naturalÌýhazards, disaster-related vulnerability and risk,Ìýand integrating science into decision-making. JoannaÌýhasÌýindustry experience working for the catastrophe modelling firm RMS and academic consultancy practice for clients such as the World Bank.

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Keynote speech

Mami Mizutori, UN Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNDRR)

Mami Mizutori is the Special Representative of the United Nations Secretary-General (SRSG) for Disaster Risk Reduction, andÌýHead of the United Nations Office for Disaster Risk ReductionÌý(UNDRR).ÌýThe role of UNDRR is to support countries and stakeholders in the implementation of the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction (2015-2030).

Moderator: Ilan Kelman, Ïã¸ÛÁùºÏ²Ê Institute for Risk and Disaster Reduction and Ïã¸ÛÁùºÏ²Ê Institute for Global HealthÌý

is Professor of DisastersÌýandÌýHealth jointly appointed between IRDR and Institute for Global Health. His main research interests link disaster and health topics through (i) diplomacy, namely disaster diplomacy and health diplomacy; (ii) climate change; and (iii) island and polar locations. Bringing his research into the classroom means coordinating modules on 'Conflict, Humanitarianism, and Disaster Risk Reduction' and 'Climate change and health'. HeÌýlectures on migration, sustainability, gender, and disability, connecting practice with theories of vulnerability, resilience, disasters, islandness, Arcticness, and climate change's role. His recent consultancies have been for the international and national agencies as well as the private and non-profit sectors, and his work has appeared throughout the media around the world.

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In conversation

Oliver Morgan, World Health Organisation

Oliver MorganÌýisÌýthe DirectorÌýof the Health Emergency Information and Risk Assessment DepartmentÌýinÌýthe WHO Health Emergencies Program. From 2007ÌýthroughÌý2016,ÌýDr. Morgan worked for the US Centers for Disease Control and PreventionÌýduring which time heÌýheld critical leadership positionsÌýinÌýthe Ebola responseÌýbetween November 2014 and February 2016Ìý(CDCÌýAtlantaÌýEbola Response Incident MangerÌýandÌýCDC CountryÌýDirectorÌýin Sierra Leone). From March 2010 to October 2014, Dr. Morgan was theÌýCDC Country Director in the Dominican Republic.Ìý Dr. MorganÌýwasÌýan Epidemic Intelligence Service OfficerÌýat CDC from 2007 to 2009Ìýwith the International Emerging Infections Program, during which time he conducted projects in Thailand, Bangladesh, Kenya, Uganda, and Guatemala.Ìý

Before joining CDC,ÌýDr. MorganÌýworked for the UK Health Protection Agency, leading epidemiological investigations of outbreaks (enteric, vaccine preventable, hospital acquired, zoonotic, respiratory, and sexually acquired infections),ÌýchemicalÌýand radiation exposure incidents, terrorist bombings in London, natural disasters, and humanitarian civil conflicts.Ìý Dr. Morgan has also worked as a consultant to WHO/PAHO in several countries.Ìý Dr. Morgan’s academic achievements includeÌýaÌýdoctorate in epidemiology from Imperial College LondonÌýand extensive publication in peer reviewed journals and reference books.Ìý

Gail Carson, GOARN (Global Outbreak and Response Network)

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ail Carson is Director of Network Development at the International Severe Acute Respiratory and Emerging Infection Consortium. She is a Consultant in Infectious Diseases who in 2012 moved from Public Health England, Porton Down to help set up the global federation of the hospital based clinical research networks called ISARIC. She was frustrated with trying to provide clinicians during outbreaks with clinical management advice based on weak evidence. ISARIC was set up to try to make sure that clinical research is done and done quickly during outbreaks. ISARIC has responded to COVID19 via CoCIN and ISARIC4C, via a pre-approved Clinical Characterisation Protocol (CCP) in the UK and internationally with a database hosting 500,000 patient entries from over 50 countries.

Andrew Revkin, Columbia University

Andrew Revkin, one of America’s most honored environmental journalists, is the founding director of the Initiative on Communication and Sustainability at Columbia University's Earth Institute. He has written on climate change and disaster risk for more than 30 years, mostly for The New York Times and held senior positions at National Geographic Society and Discover Magazine.

Panel Discussion 2: Warnings for organisations

Catia Guimares, InterContinental Hotels Group

Catia is Director, Global Resilience at IHG Hotels & Resorts. She is responsible for overseeing the Strategic Resilience, ERM, Crisis andÌýBC management programs for a UK FTSE 100 company globally. She coordinates the strategy, development and implementation of activities at all levels and has been directly involved in crisis response for various events, including natural disasters, cyber and covid-19.

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Emily Hough, Crisis Response Journal

Emily Hough is founder and Editor in Chief of the Crisis Response Journal, the interdisciplinary global publication that explores risk, prevention, mitigation, response and resilience in the face of natural hazards and human-caused emergencies.

Andy Marshall, AstraZeneca

Andy Marshall is Group Policy Owner and Group Director, Business Continuity at AstraZeneca. He is a resilience professional with extensive front-line leadership and consulting experience in the public and private sectors in the UK and globally. His areas of expertise include resilience policy development and exercise design and delivery. In his spare time, Andy is a keen horse-rider and show-jumper.

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Jeremy Reynolds, London Fire Brigade

Jeremy Reynolds is London Resilience Manager for London Fire Brigade. He is also currently studying for his PhD with the Ïã¸ÛÁùºÏ²Ê IRDR with a focus on learning from organisations regarding adaptive capacity and their relevance to urban resilience planning.

Moderator: Gianluca Pescaroli, Ïã¸ÛÁùºÏ²Ê Institute for Risk and Disaster Reduction

Gianluca Pescaroli isÌýProgramme Director for the Risk, Disaster and Resilience MSc and a lecturer in Business Continuity and Organisational Resilience.ÌýHIs research investigates how to build and improve the ability to maintain operations during disruptive events, how to minimise their impacts and how to increase the resilience of the public and private sectors. This includes learning to understand complex challenges such as cascading risks, critical infrastructure failures, cross-sectoral interdependencies, and compound dynamics.Ìý

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Get involved

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Submit your questions in the webinar Q&A or in advance to irdr-comms@ucl.ac.uk

Master's student meet and greet sessions

If you have applied for a place on one of our postgraduate programmes, we invite you to attend one of our meet and greet sessions. We are holding two dedicated sessions at either end of the Annual Conference for you toÌýmeet our staff and current students in an informal online space. It's a chance for you to find out more about the courses, the department and the team, and ask us any questions you have. Invitations with login details will be sent to applicants by email, but if you don't receive your invitation, please email irdr-comms@ucl.ac.uk.

Please note, this event will be livestreamed on the Ïã¸ÛÁùºÏ²Ê and recorded. By attending the event you consent to this.