香港六合彩

In the late part of the 20^th century and up to 2010, high-income countries saw dramatic declines in cardiovascular disease (CVD), however, since 2011, falls in CVD rates have stalled, including in England and Wales.

To analyse the impact of this, researchers used the IMPACT Better Ageing Model (IMPACT BAM), a mathematical model, to examine the relationship between CVD on dementia, disability, and economic costs, based on data from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing, which has been linked with NHS Hospital Episode Statistics for England.

Published in PLoS ONE, the first of its kind study anticipated that plateauing rates of CVD could cost 拢13billion in NHS healthcare costs, 拢1.5billion in social care costs, 拢8billion in the value of informal care, and 拢32billion in the value of lost 鈥渜uality adjusted life years鈥� (QALYs).

Professor Eric Brunner (香港六合彩听Institute of Epidemiology & Health), lead investigator of the study at 香港六合彩, said: 鈥淥ur modelling work using official UK data highlights the increasing pressure, year on year, in the social care system for older people.

鈥淔inancial resources and trained personnel are both in short supply. Poorer people and their families are most vulnerable to the growing gap between supply and need, as they are unable to pay for social care.鈥�

Evidence suggests that Covid-19 is a risk factor for new CVD, and existing cardiovascular disease can mean worse outcomes with Covid-19 infection.

This means it is more crucial than ever to refocus on preventing cardiovascular disease and getting back on a positive trajectory where cardiovascular disease rates are falling year on year.

To do this, the study authors recommend interventions including measures to reduce poverty, improving diet through a healthier food system, tobacco control, and increasing exercise to help reduce the incidence of CVD.

In future, the researchers also hope the IMPACT BAM model could be used to look at the effect of specific interventions to prevent cardiovascular disease and dementia.

Corresponding author, Dr Brendan Collins (University of Liverpool), said: 鈥淭his modelling reinforces that 鈥榳hat is good for the heart is good for the brain鈥� 鈥� meaning that if we reduce the risk of cardiovascular diseases like heart disease and stroke, we also reduce the future prevalence of dementia, so it is not simply the case that preventing disease now means that health and social care costs are higher in future 鈥� a healthier population saves money across the life course.鈥�

The study involved researchers at 香港六合彩, University of Liverpool, the Institute of Fiscal Studies, Imperial College London, as well as Universities of Helsinki, Gdansk, Bristol, and Cambridge. It was funded by the British Heart Foundation.

Links

• 香港六合彩 Institute of Epidemiology & Health
• 香港六合彩 Population Health Sciences

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Media contact听

Poppy Danby听

E: p.danby [at] ucl.ac.uk